数字化转型的10个关键词!
核心提示:安筱鹏博士华南智能制造导读INTRODUCTION什么是数字化转型的本质?我们认为,数字化转型的本质是,在数据+算法定义的世界中,以
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portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-top:10px;margin-bottom:10px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="padding:15px20px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:inline-block;width:578px;vertical-align:top;background-color:rgb(240,239,239);border-width:0px;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-top:10px;margin-bottom:10px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:inline-block;vertical-align:top;width:auto;min-width:10%;height:auto;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;text-align:left;justify-content:flex-start;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:inline-block;vertical-align:top;overflow:hidden;height:73px;width:73px;border-width:0px;border-radius:317px;border-style:none;border-color:rgb(62,62,62);background-color:rgb(255,255,255);visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-left:-40px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:inline-block;vertical-align:top;width:auto;min-width:10%;height:auto;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;font-size:30px;color:rgb(21,110,229);visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">导读nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;font-size:12px;color:rgb(62,62,62);text-align:left;letter-spacing:1px;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">INTRODUCTIONnstyle="margin-top:10px;margin-bottom:10px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;font-size:14px;color:rgb(62,62,62);font-family:Optima-Regular,PingFangTC-light;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-right:16px;margin-left:16px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">什么是数字化转型的本质?我们认为,数字化转型的本质是,在数据+算法定义的世界中,以数据的自动流动化解复杂系统的portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">不确定性portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">,优化资源配置效率,构建企业新型竞争优势。nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;text-align:right;justify-content:flex-end;transform:translate3d(-18px,0px,0px);visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:inline-block;width:203.828px;vertical-align:top;height:auto;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-top:0.5em;margin-bottom:0.5em;outline:0px;max-width:100%;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;height:1px;background-color:rgb(21,110,229);visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="padding-right:10px;padding-left:10px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="padding-right:8px;padding-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin:10pxauto;outline:0px;max-width:100%;text-align:left;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-top:15px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;border-width:1px;border-style:solid;border-color:rgb(21,110,229);background-color:rgb(245,249,252);visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:inline-block;transform:translate(-1px,-12px);visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="padding:2px15px2px11px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;background-color:rgb(21,110,229);border-radius:0px20px20px0px;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;letter-spacing:1.5px;color:rgb(255,255,255);visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">文章来源portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">本文作者:阿里研究院副院长安筱鹏博士。portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-top:10px;margin-bottom:10px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;font-size:32px;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin:auto;padding:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;width:5em;height:5em;border-radius:100%;box-shadow:rgb(204,204,204)0px5px5px;background-color:rgb(254,255,255);visibility:visible;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;visibility:visible!important;width:636px!important;"title="image.png"/>portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">以下内容为安筱鹏博士在清华大学经管学院举办的高教论坛上,围绕“数字化转型2.0”进行的主题发言,今天再次分享给大家供大家学习。nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:flex;justify-content:flex-end;align-items:flex-start;transform:translate(0px,1px);visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-right:-18px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;width:0px;height:1px;border-top:30pxsolidrgb(21,110,229);border-right:18pxsolidtransparent;box-shadow:rgb(21,110,229)-1px-1px0px0px;overflow:hidden;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;width:0px;height:1px;border-top:29pxsolidrgb(245,249,252);border-right:17pxsolidtransparent;overflow:hidden;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>nstyle="margin-top:-31px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:flex;justify-content:flex-end;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;width:0px;height:1px;border-bottom:31pxsolidrgb(255,255,255);border-left:19pxsolidtransparent;overflow:hidden;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="padding-right:10px;padding-left:10px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;visibility:visible;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">inkMacSystemFont,Arial,sans-serif;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;font-size:15px;line-height:2;letter-spacing:1px;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;visibility:visible;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">各位来宾上午好!portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">在座的各位都是清华经管学院的校友,非常高兴在清华108年校庆期,和各位清华校友交流数字化转型这个话题。今天,我们业界关于企业数字化转型有很多新的概念,有些时候新概念太多,ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">也造成了“新概念雾霾”,我们需要一个“雾霾净化器”;我们需要一个望远镜,能看到数字化转型的全局;我们需要一个显微镜,能看到数字化转型的细节;ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">我们也需要一个CT机,能看到数字化转型的本质。portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;font-size:16px;vertical-align:middle;display:inline-block;line-height:0;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;width:666px!important;visibility:visible!important;"/>portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;font-size:15px;line-height:2;letter-spacing:1px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;text-align:center;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">什么是数字化转型的本质?我们认为,数字化转型的本质是,在数据+算法定义的世界中,以数据的自动流动化解复杂系统的不确定性,优化资源配置效率,构建企业新型竞争优势。当前,全球信息通信技术正进入技术架构大迁徙时代,企业数字化转型正在经历从基于传统IT架构的信息化管理(数字化转型1.0),迈向基于云架构的智能化运营(数字化转型2.0)。如何理解和认识企业数字化转型,这十个关键词也许可以帮助勾勒出数字化转型的本质:nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">1、不确定性,nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">2、复杂系统,nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">3、竞争的本质,nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">4、转型的逻辑起点,nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">5、工具革命,nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">6、决策革命,nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">7、数据的自动流动,nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">8、软件的本质,nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">9、技术架构的大迁移时代,nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">10、体系重构。nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="padding:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="padding:1em;outline:0px;max-width:100%;text-align:center;border-width:1px;border-style:solid;border-color:rgb(137,181,255);background:rgb(247,250,255);letter-spacing:1.5px;color:rgb(52,107,222);border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-bottom:1em;outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:inline-block;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">01portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">不确定性inkMacSystemFont,Arial,sans-serif;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-top:10px;margin-bottom:10px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:inline-block;text-align:left;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="padding-left:5px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;vertical-align:middle;display:inline-block;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;line-height:1;font-size:24px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin:10pxauto;outline:0px;max-width:100%;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:inline-block;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-left:4px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:flex;justify-content:center;align-items:center;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;width:33px;height:33px;background-image:linear-gradient(toright,rgb(21,110,229)0%,rgb(255,255,255)100%);background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-attachment:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial;flex-shrink:0;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;font-size:16px;letter-spacing:1.5px;color:rgb(41,41,41);line-height:33px;text-align:center;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">0portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">1portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">只有深刻认识不确定性,才能深刻理解数字化转型的本质nstyle="margin-top:6px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;width:455.5px;height:1px;background-color:rgb(34,34,34);border-radius:10px;overflow:hidden;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>inkMacSystemFont,Arial,sans-serif;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;font-size:15px;line-height:2;letter-spacing:1px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">对不确定性的恐惧是人们认知社会规律的内在动力。人类社会发展一直伴随着对确定性的追求,确定性是行为能够被预测的前提,也是我们安全感的来源。人类社会的发展史就是一部对抗不确定性、寻求人类命运发展确定性的历史,对不确定性的恐惧和对确定性的追求一直伴随着人类社会的发展和演进。nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">不确定性源于信息约束条件下人们有限的认知能力,应对不确定性,是人类永恒的挑战。在过去几千年里,每一个个体、族群、部落、企业、国家等都会面临着各种各样的挑战,如战争、冲突、灾害、竞争等。人们都面临着如何在不确定性的环境中进行决策,这些决策正确与否会导致事情的成败、得失、利弊、对错、好坏、优劣等结果,决策结果又会影响个体的幸福、部落的兴衰、企业的成长、国家的繁荣、历史的走向。nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">化解不确定性的“三部曲”。第一,理解和认知世界运行的规律,是化解不确定性的逻辑起点;ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">第二,理解运行规律之后需要预测将会发生什么,这是决策的基础和依据;ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">第三是控制,是将决策付诸行动的具体路径。nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>inkMacSystemFont,Arial,sans-serif;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin:10px8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;text-align:center;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;vertical-align:middle;display:inline-block;line-height:0;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;width:641px!important;visibility:visible!important;"/>nstyle="margin:10px8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;text-align:center;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;vertical-align:middle;display:inline-block;line-height:0;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>inkMacSystemFont,Arial,sans-serif;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;font-size:15px;line-height:2;letter-spacing:1px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="padding-right:8px;padding-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin:10pxauto;outline:0px;max-width:100%;text-align:left;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:inline-block;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-left:4px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:flex;justify-content:center;align-items:center;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;width:33px;height:33px;background-image:linear-gradient(toright,rgb(21,110,229)0%,rgb(255,255,255)100%);background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-attachment:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial;flex-shrink:0;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;font-size:16px;letter-spacing:1.5px;color:rgb(41,41,41);line-height:33px;text-align:center;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">0portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">2portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">面对不确定性如何决策?nstyle="margin-top:6px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;width:641px;height:1px;background-color:rgb(34,34,34);border-radius:10px;overflow:hidden;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">几千年来,人类社会一直面临的重大挑战是,如何在不确定性的环境中进行决策,从游牧社会、农业社会、工业社会到信息社会,这都是一个永恒的话题,而在过去几千年人类是如何进行决策?2000多年前,《史记·龟策列传》中记载“自古圣王将建国受命,兴动事业,何尝不宝卜筮以助善!”500年前,正如马克斯·韦伯在《新教伦理与资本主义精神》所说的,新教构建了一套对世界的解释体系,企业家们面对各种不确定性进行决策的时候,宗教是指导他们在不确定性的环境中进行选择的依据。nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">100前,爱迪生经过几千次试验发明了电灯,1969年美国人把人类送到了月球,波音747实现首飞。人类上月球的每一个决策、飞机研发的每一次重大决策的背后是基于什么?是科学。今天,风电功率预测、工程机械设备全生命周期运维、盒马鲜生对生鲜食品的品类及数量选择、淘宝首页的千人千面的背后,构建了新的决策机制:数据+算法。nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="padding-right:8px;padding-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin:10pxauto;outline:0px;max-width:100%;text-align:left;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:inline-block;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="margin-left:4px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;display:flex;justify-content:center;align-items:center;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;width:33px;height:33px;background-image:linear-gradient(toright,rgb(21,110,229)0%,rgb(255,255,255)100%);background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-attachment:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial;flex-shrink:0;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">nstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;font-size:16px;letter-spacing:1.5px;color:rgb(41,41,41);line-height:33px;text-align:center;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">ngstyle="outline:0px;max-width:100%;border-radius:10px;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">0portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">3portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">对不确定性认知的分野:从哲学到科学nstyle="margin-top:6px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;width:641px;height:1px;background-color:rgb(34,34,34);border-radius:10px;overflow:hidden;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!important;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;">portant;overflow-wrap:break-word!important;"/>nstyle="margin-right:8px;margin-left:8px;outline:0px;max-width:100%;min-height:1em;line-height:1.75em;box-sizing:border-box!im